Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

Início: 2026-05-21 20:06 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 1–2 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 49.48%2.02odd justa
EV -0.554%
Vantagem -0.276%
Kelly -0.549%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%49.48%49.48%50.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.931.942.0154.05%51.74%51.55%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 50.52%1.98odd justa
EV -0.467%
Vantagem -0.237%
Kelly -0.481%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.33%50.52%50.52%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.891.891.9754.64%52.91%52.91%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 49.48%; New York Mets (Visitante): 50.52%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.98. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.97, com valor esperado de -0.467%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -0.554%E -0.276%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-21 20:00
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.48%E -0.757%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-21 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.49%E -1.29%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 16:49
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.49%E -1.29%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 19:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 19:10
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 20:00
Everygame🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.98%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.48%E -0.757%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 20:00
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.48%E -0.757%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 20:00
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-21 14:09
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 01:20
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 14:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 01:20
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 19:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 20:00
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 19:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 19:59
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 19:40
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.467%E -0.237%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 19:30
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 20:00
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 20:00
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 19:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 20:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 19:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 19:19
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 19:50
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 19:00
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 19:19
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 20:00
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.49%E -3.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 19:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-21 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-21 20:00
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-21 20:00
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-21 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-21 20:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-21 19:30
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%1.0%2026-05-21 20:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-05-21 20:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-05-21 20:00