L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 20:06 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 1–2 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 49.48%2.02cote équitable
EV -0.554%
Avantage -0.276%
Kelly -0.549%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.41%49.48%49.48%50.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.931.942.0154.05%51.74%51.55%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.52%1.98cote équitable
EV -0.467%
Avantage -0.237%
Kelly -0.481%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.33%50.52%50.52%51.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.891.891.9754.64%52.91%52.91%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -0.554%E -0.276%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-21 20:00
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.48%E -0.757%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-21 19:50
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.49%E -1.29%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 16:49
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.49%E -1.29%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 19:29
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 19:10
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 20:00
Everygame1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.98%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.48%E -0.757%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 20:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.48%E -0.757%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 20:00
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-21 14:09
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 01:20
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 14:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 01:20
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:18
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:50
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 19:40
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 19:40
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 20:00
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 21:00
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 19:19
MyBookie.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 19:59
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 19:40
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 19:40
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.467%E -0.237%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 20:00
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 19:19
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 19:30
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 20:00
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 20:00
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 19:19
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 20:00
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 20:00
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 19:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 19:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 19:19
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 20:00
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 17:00
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 20:00
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 19:50
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 19:00
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 19:19
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 20:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 20:00
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.49%E -3.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 20:00
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.48%E -4.00%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 17:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 19:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-21 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-21 20:00
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-21 20:00
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-21 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-21 20:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-21 19:30
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%1.0%2026-05-21 20:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-05-21 20:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-05-21 20:00