Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

2026-09-26 16:36 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 45.17%2.21momio equitativo
EV -0.623%
Ventaja -0.283%
Kelly -0.519%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.16%45.16%45.17%45.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.27%47.17%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 54.83%1.82momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.727%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.26%54.84%54.83%55.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.741.741.8059.88%57.51%57.47%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Washington Nationals (Local): 45.17%; New York Mets (Visitante): 54.83%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.21. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.20, con un valor esperado de -0.623%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.623%E -0.283%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-26 05:45
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.98%E -0.911%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-26 04:25
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.31%E -0.727%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-26 04:25
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-26 04:30
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-26 01:10
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-26 04:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-26 04:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 00:45
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 01:00
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 01:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.24%E -3.65%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 01:00
Caesars🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.78%E -1.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.50%E -1.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 00:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.78%E -1.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.50%E -1.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 04:34
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.78%E -1.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 07:59
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.78%E -1.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.70%E -3.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 04:40
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 00:40
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 01:35
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 04:20
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.95%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 04:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.95%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.31%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 02:24
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.31%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 04:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.31%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 04:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 04:30
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 05:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:40
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 01:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 03:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 03:03
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 03:13
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 04:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.70%E -3.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 05:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.04%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.24%E -3.65%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 04:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.04%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.24%E -3.65%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -7.85%E -3.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -8.44%E -5.05%K -12.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-26 04:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-26 03:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.44%E -5.05%K -12.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 04:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-09-26 07:55
ProphetX◎2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%0.8%2026-09-26 08:00
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-26 07:55
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-09-26 07:35
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-09-26 06:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-09-26 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-09-26 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-09-26 08:05
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%9.9%2026-09-26 04:30