StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

2026-09-26 16:36 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals (Heim)

Prognose 45.17%2.21faire Quote
EV -0.623%
Vorteil -0.283%
Kelly -0.519%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.16%45.16%45.17%45.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.27%47.17%45.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Auswärts)

Prognose 54.83%1.82faire Quote
EV -1.31%
Vorteil -0.727%
Kelly -1.64%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.26%54.84%54.83%55.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.671.741.741.8059.88%57.51%57.47%55.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Washington Nationals (Heim): 45.17%; New York Mets (Auswärts): 54.83%. Für Washington Nationals (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.21. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.20, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.623%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.623%E -0.283%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-26 05:45
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.98%E -0.911%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-26 04:25
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.31%E -0.727%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-26 04:25
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-26 04:30
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-26 01:10
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-26 04:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-26 04:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 00:45
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 01:00
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 01:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.24%E -3.65%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 01:00
Caesars🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.78%E -1.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.50%E -1.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 00:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.78%E -1.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.50%E -1.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 04:34
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.78%E -1.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 07:59
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.78%E -1.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.70%E -3.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 04:40
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 00:40
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 01:35
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 04:20
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.95%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 04:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.95%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.31%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 02:24
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.31%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 04:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.31%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 04:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 04:30
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.60%E -2.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 05:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:40
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 01:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 03:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 03:03
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 03:13
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 04:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.70%E -3.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 05:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.04%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.24%E -3.65%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 04:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.04%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.24%E -3.65%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 04:20
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -7.85%E -3.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -8.44%E -5.05%K -12.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-26 04:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-26 03:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.44%E -5.05%K -12.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 04:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (9)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-09-26 07:55
ProphetX◎2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%0.8%2026-09-26 08:00
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-26 07:55
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-09-26 07:35
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-09-26 06:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-09-26 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-09-26 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-09-26 08:05
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%9.9%2026-09-26 04:30