La scuola delle quote

Washington Nationals v Minnesota Twins

Inizio: 2026-05-07 17:06 UTC

Finale: Washington Nationals 7–5 Minnesota Twins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Nationals (Casa)

Previsione 52.94%1.89quota equa
EV -2.05%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -2.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.59%52.86%52.95%53.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.801.801.8557.47%55.53%55.56%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Twins (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.06%2.13quota equa
EV -0.712%
Vantaggio -0.338%
Kelly -0.642%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.05%47.14%47.05%48.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.942.032.022.1151.55%49.37%49.50%47.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.05%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.65%E -0.791%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-07 15:45
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.05%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.65%E -0.791%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-07 17:04
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.05%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.58%E -1.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 17:05
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.712%E -0.338%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.18%E -0.563%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 16:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.18%E -0.563%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 16:10
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.18%E -0.563%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 16:10
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.18%E -0.563%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 15:20
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.83%E -3.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:05
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.83%E -3.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:05
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.24%E -4.23%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 17:05
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 17:05
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.83%E -3.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 17:05
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 15:20
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 17:02
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 17:04
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:20
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:55
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:55
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 16:04
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 16:03
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 16:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 15:29
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:50
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:50
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:49
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:49
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:50
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:50
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:50
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:34
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 16:35
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 14:20
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.77%E -3.96%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 17:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.24%E -4.23%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 15:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.24%E -4.23%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 16:53
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.23%E -2.92%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 17:05
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.23%E -2.92%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 17:05
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.23%E -2.92%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 15:44
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:55
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 17:04
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -6.36%E -3.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:05
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:05
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.30%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 17:05
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.82%E -3.87%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.77%E -3.96%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 17:05
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -8.71%E -4.49%K -9.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 17:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-05-07 17:04
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-05-07 16:15
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-05-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-07 17:05
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-07 16:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-07 15:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-05-07 17:05
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%2.8%2026-05-07 17:05