La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Minnesota Twins

Inicio: 2026-05-07 17:06 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 7–5 Minnesota Twins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 52.94%1.89momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%52.86%52.95%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.801.801.8557.47%55.53%55.56%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 47.06%2.13momio equitativo
EV -0.712%
Ventaja -0.338%
Kelly -0.642%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%47.14%47.05%48.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.032.022.1151.55%49.37%49.50%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.05%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.65%E -0.791%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-07 15:45
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.05%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.65%E -0.791%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-07 17:04
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.05%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.58%E -1.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 17:05
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.712%E -0.338%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.18%E -0.563%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 16:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.18%E -0.563%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 16:10
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.18%E -0.563%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 16:10
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.18%E -0.563%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 15:20
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.83%E -3.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:05
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.83%E -3.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:05
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.24%E -4.23%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 17:05
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 17:05
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.83%E -3.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 17:05
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 15:20
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 17:02
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 17:04
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:20
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:55
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 15:55
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 16:04
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 16:03
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 16:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 17:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 15:29
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:50
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:50
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:49
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:49
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:50
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:50
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:50
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:34
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 16:35
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 14:20
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.77%E -3.96%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 17:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.24%E -4.23%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 15:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.24%E -4.23%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 16:53
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.23%E -2.92%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 17:05
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.23%E -2.92%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 17:05
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.23%E -2.92%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 15:44
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 15:55
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 17:04
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -6.36%E -3.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:05
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:05
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.30%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 17:05
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.82%E -3.87%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.77%E -3.96%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 17:05
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -8.71%E -4.49%K -9.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 17:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-05-07 17:04
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-05-07 16:15
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-05-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-07 17:05
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-07 16:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-07 15:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-05-07 17:05
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%2.8%2026-05-07 17:05