Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Washington Nationals v Kansas City Royals

Początek: 2026-06-17 17:06 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Washington Nationals 2–6 Kansas City Royals

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Washington Nationals (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 54.59%1.83kurs godziwy
EV -1.19%
Przewaga -0.656%
Kelly -1.47%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.81

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.05%54.67%54.64%56.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.681.741.741.8159.52%57.48%57.47%55.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kansas City Royals (Goście)

Prognoza 45.41%2.20kurs godziwy
EV -0.104%
Przewaga -0.047%
Kelly -0.087%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.96%45.33%45.36%45.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.032.122.102.2049.26%47.15%47.51%45.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Washington Nationals (Gospodarze): 54.59%; Kansas City Royals (Goście): 45.41%. Dla wyniku Kansas City Royals (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.202. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.200, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.104%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.19%E -0.656%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 16:20
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.73%E -0.963%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 11:40
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 16:30
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 17:00
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:20
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:29
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.92%E -2.23%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -1.01%E -0.464%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-17 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.92%E -2.23%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.74%E -1.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.92%E -2.23%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.19%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.92%E -2.23%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.01%E -2.90%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.92%E -2.23%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.01%E -2.90%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.74%E -1.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 17:00
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.74%E -1.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 17:00
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 16:20
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 16:20
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.55%E -2.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.55%E -2.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:31
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.37%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 11:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.37%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.28%E -1.54%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.10%E -2.44%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -0.104%E -0.047%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-17 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.74%E -1.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 17:00
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.74%E -1.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 08:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 08:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 08:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 08:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 04:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.10%E -3.55%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.01%E -0.464%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.01%E -0.464%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 16:30
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 09:20
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -7.82%E -3.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 16:59
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 16:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-06-17 17:00
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-17 17:00
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-17 16:20
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-17 16:50
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-17 16:50
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-06-17 17:00