Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-06-17 17:06 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 2–6 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 54.59%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.656%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.05%54.67%54.64%56.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.741.741.8159.52%57.48%57.47%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 45.41%2.20momio equitativo
EV -0.104%
Ventaja -0.047%
Kelly -0.087%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.96%45.33%45.36%45.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.032.122.102.2049.26%47.15%47.51%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Nationals (Local): 54.59%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 45.41%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.202. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.200, con un valor esperado de -0.104%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.19%E -0.656%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 16:20
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.73%E -0.963%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 11:40
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 16:30
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 17:00
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:20
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:29
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.92%E -2.23%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -1.01%E -0.464%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-17 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.92%E -2.23%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.74%E -1.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.92%E -2.23%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.19%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.92%E -2.23%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.01%E -2.90%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.92%E -2.23%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.01%E -2.90%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.74%E -1.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 17:00
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.74%E -1.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 17:00
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 16:20
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 16:20
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.55%E -2.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.46%E -2.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.55%E -2.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:31
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.37%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 11:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.37%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.28%E -1.54%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.10%E -2.44%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.01%E -2.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -0.104%E -0.047%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-17 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.74%E -1.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 17:00
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.74%E -1.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 08:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 08:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 08:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 08:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 04:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.10%E -3.55%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.01%E -0.464%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.01%E -0.464%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 16:30
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.47%E -0.676%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.92%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.64%E -2.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 09:20
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -7.82%E -3.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 16:59
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-06-17 17:00
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-17 17:00
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-17 16:20
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-17 16:50
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-17 16:50
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-17 17:00
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-06-17 17:00