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Washington Nationals v Baltimore Orioles
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Washington Nationals (Хозяева)
Прогноз 50.13%1.99справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.24%
Преимущество -0.630%
Kelly -1.28%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.97
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.94%50.11%50.00%52.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.791.911.911.9755.87%52.25%52.36%50.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Baltimore Orioles (Гости)
Прогноз 49.87%2.01справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.761%
Преимущество -0.382%
Kelly -0.768%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.99
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.61%49.89%50.00%51.06%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.851.911.901.9954.05%52.48%52.49%50.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Washington Nationals (Хозяева): 50.13%; Baltimore Orioles (Гости): 49.87%. Для исхода «Baltimore Orioles (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.01. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 1.99, математическое ожидание — -0.761%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -1.24%E -0.630%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.26%E -0.636%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 20:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.761%E -0.382%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 19:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.76%E -0.892%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-16 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 06:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 20:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 22:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 07:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 19:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.76%E -3.63%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -6.76%E -3.63%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 19:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 19:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -10.27%E -5.73%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -1.76%E -0.892%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 20:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 19:31 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 20:05 |