A Escola das Odds

Washington Nationals v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-05-16 20:06 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 13–3 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 50.13%1.99odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.630%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.94%50.11%50.00%52.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.791.911.911.9755.87%52.25%52.36%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 49.87%2.01odd justa
EV -0.761%
Vantagem -0.382%
Kelly -0.768%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.61%49.89%50.00%51.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.851.911.901.9954.05%52.48%52.49%50.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -1.24%E -0.630%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 20:05
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.74%E -0.889%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:05
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:05
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 16:55
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 00:05
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.26%E -0.636%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 19:55
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 19:55
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 19:55
Everygame1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 20:04
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 20:05
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 20:05
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 20:05
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 20:05
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 20:05
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 20:05
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 20:05
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 20:05
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.761%E -0.382%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 19:15
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.76%E -0.892%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 19:55
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 10:40
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 20:05
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 20:05
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.74%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 06:35
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 12:20
Betr (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 20:04
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 20:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:55
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 10:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 07:05
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:19
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 07:04
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 07:05
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:55
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:55
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:30
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 20:00
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 19:35
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:55
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:55
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 19:35
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 19:40
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:35
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:10
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 12:20
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 20:05
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 17:40
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.76%E -3.63%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -6.76%E -3.63%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 19:55
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:53
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -10.27%E -5.73%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -1.76%E -0.892%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-16 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-16 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-16 20:05
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-05-16 20:00
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-16 18:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-16 19:31
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-16 20:05
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-16 20:05
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.8%2026-05-16 20:05
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-05-16 20:05