La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-04-23 17:06 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 2–7 Atlanta Braves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 44.76%2.23momio equitativo
EV +0.712%
Ventaja +0.316%
Kelly +0.570%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.31%44.76%44.73%45.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.142.152.2548.78%46.69%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 55.24%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.570%
Ventaja -0.316%
Kelly -0.712%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.05%55.24%55.27%57.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.85%57.97%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.712%E +0.316%K +0.570%G +0.004%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:49
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.08%E -0.488%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 16:39
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.53%E -0.694%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-23 17:05
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.53%E -0.694%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-23 16:34
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.53%E -0.694%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 17:04
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.53%E -0.694%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 16:29
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.53%E -0.694%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:24
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 17:05
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 17:04
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 16:39
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.32%E -1.54%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 15:49
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.32%E -1.54%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.44%E -2.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 16:39
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.32%E -1.54%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.44%E -2.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 16:40
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.570%E -0.316%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 17:00
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 17:04
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 13:45
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 16:59
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 16:29
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 17:05
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:40
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:40
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 17:04
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 08:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:25
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:24
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:24
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 16:24
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 17:05
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:24
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:39
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:40
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:39
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:39
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.66%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 16:49
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 17:00
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.44%E -2.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:05
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:04
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:04
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:19
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:20
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:19
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 02:54
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:59
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:59
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 17:04
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:59
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.34%E -3.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:59
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.34%E -3.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-04-23 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-04-23 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-04-23 17:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-04-23 17:05
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-23 16:59
BetOpenly2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-04-23 17:04
ProphetX2.21I 45.25%NM 44.47%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.53%1.7%2026-04-23 17:05
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-04-23 17:05
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.4%2026-04-23 17:05
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%2.8%2026-04-23 17:05