مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v Atlanta Braves

البداية: 2026-04-23 17:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 2–7 Atlanta Braves

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.76%2.23السعر العادل
EV +0.712%
الأفضلية +0.316%
Kelly +0.570%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.31%44.76%44.73%45.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.142.152.2548.78%46.69%46.51%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlanta Braves (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.24%1.81السعر العادل
EV -0.570%
الأفضلية -0.316%
Kelly -0.712%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.05%55.24%55.27%57.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.85%57.97%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.712%E +0.316%K +0.570%G +0.004%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:49
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.08%E -0.488%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 16:39
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.53%E -0.694%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-23 17:05
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.53%E -0.694%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-23 16:34
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.53%E -0.694%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 17:04
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.53%E -0.694%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 16:29
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.53%E -0.694%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:24
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 17:05
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 17:04
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 16:39
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.32%E -1.54%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 15:49
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.32%E -1.54%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.44%E -2.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 16:39
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.32%E -1.54%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.44%E -2.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 16:40
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.570%E -0.316%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 17:00
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 17:04
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 13:45
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 16:59
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 16:29
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 17:05
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:40
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:40
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 17:04
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 08:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:25
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:24
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:24
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 16:24
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 17:05
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:24
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:39
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:40
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:39
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:39
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.66%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 16:49
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 17:00
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.44%E -2.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:05
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:04
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:04
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:19
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:20
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:19
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 02:54
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:59
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:59
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 17:04
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:59
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.34%E -3.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:59
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.34%E -3.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 16:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-04-23 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-04-23 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-04-23 17:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-04-23 17:05
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-23 16:59
BetOpenly2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-04-23 17:04
ProphetX2.21I 45.25%NM 44.47%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.53%1.7%2026-04-23 17:05
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-04-23 17:05
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.4%2026-04-23 17:05
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%2.8%2026-04-23 17:05