Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-07-26 17:36 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 10–7 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 48.25%2.07odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.98%48.27%48.21%49.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.981.982.0352.63%50.52%50.51%49.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 51.75%1.93odd justa
EV -1.15%
Vantagem -0.604%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.79%51.73%51.79%53.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.35%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 48.25%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 51.75%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.93. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.91, com valor esperado de -1.15%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.06%E -1.01%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.19%E -1.16%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-26 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.78%E -2.60%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:15
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:15
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:15
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:15
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.36%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.36%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:15
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.36%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:15
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.15%E -0.604%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.15%E -0.604%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.15%E -0.604%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 14:26
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.15%E -0.604%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 14:25
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.15%E -0.604%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:00
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.15%E -0.604%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 14:30
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 14:30
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 14:34
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 02:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 06:05
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 15:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 13:05
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 05:19
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 11:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:50
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -1.15%E -0.604%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 14:34
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 05:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 05:34
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.43%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.43%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.43%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:31
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:31
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 14:30
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 14:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 23:39
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 17:29
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 17:35
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.30%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.71%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.40%E -3.30%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 14:30
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.40%E -3.30%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.40%E -3.30%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.60%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 17:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.33%E -4.38%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-07-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-07-26 17:35
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-07-26 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-07-26 16:30
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-26 16:51
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-07-26 16:00