La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-26 17:36 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 47.92%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.865%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.75%47.83%47.91%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.991.992.0552.63%50.37%50.25%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 52.08%1.92momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.547%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.17%52.09%53.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.831.831.9056.18%54.58%54.64%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.77%E -0.865%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.08%E -1.11%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-25 22:17
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.77%E -0.865%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 20:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.77%E -0.865%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:20
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.21%E -1.59%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.56%E -0.825%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 23:29
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.21%E -1.59%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.56%E -0.825%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 23:24
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.21%E -1.59%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.56%E -0.825%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 23:25
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.21%E -1.59%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.56%E -0.825%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 23:25
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.69%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 00:15
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 18:25
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 23:35
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 23:08
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 00:14
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 00:15
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 00:14
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 00:14
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 22:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 21:20
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:25
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 23:28
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 21:05
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 01:50
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 23:39
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 20:05
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:35
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:35
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:50
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.65%E -2.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.16%E -2.26%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 00:44
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.65%E -2.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 23:35
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.65%E -2.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 20:20
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.65%E -2.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 22:19
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:34
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:30
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:40
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 01:39
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.61%E -2.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 00:14
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.61%E -2.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 00:15
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.61%E -2.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 00:15
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.61%E -2.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 00:14
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.61%E -2.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 00:15
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.61%E -2.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 00:14
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.61%E -2.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 00:15
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.61%E -2.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 00:15
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.61%E -2.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.73%E -3.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 23:33
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.09%E -3.11%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:35
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.09%E -3.11%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:34
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.09%E -3.11%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.16%E -2.26%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:25
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.09%E -3.11%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 00:15
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 23:39
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:35
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:35
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:33
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 00:15
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.29%E -4.09%K -9.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.00%E -4.17%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.29%E -4.09%K -9.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 23:35
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.96%E -4.72%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.04%E -0.547%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-25 20:45
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-25 22:35
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-07-26 02:10
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-07-26 01:30
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-07-26 01:25
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.51%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%8.5%2026-07-26 02:10