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Toronto Blue Jays v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 49.13%2.04fair odd
EV +0.713%
Edge +0.348%
Kelly +0.679%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.70%49.14%49.09%50.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.922.0554.05%51.86%52.08%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 50.87%1.97fair odd
EV +0.217%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.224%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.34%50.86%50.91%52.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.881.9755.56%52.92%53.05%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 49.13%; New York Mets (Visit): 50.87%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.713%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.713%E +0.348%K +0.679%G +0.005% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.222%E +0.109%K +0.213%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +0.222%E +0.109%K +0.213%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.25%E -0.623%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.74%E -0.872%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.82%E -0.942%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.74%E -0.872%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 21:27 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.74%E -0.872%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.23%E -1.12%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.82%E -0.942%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.22%E -1.63%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.40%E -3.48%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV +0.217%E +0.110%K +0.224%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.85%E -2.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 22:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.18%E -2.69%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.18%E -2.69%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -5.67%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -0.800%E -0.410%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.67%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.67%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.40%E -3.48%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.48%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.48%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 21:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.48%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 21:28 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.48%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 22:58 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.15%E -3.78%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.82%E -0.942%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.15%E -3.78%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.82%E -0.942%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.15%E -3.78%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.82%E -0.942%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.82%E -0.942%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.82%E -0.942%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.82%E -0.942%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.82%E -0.942%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.82%E -0.942%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.82%E -0.942%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.33%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 0.0% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |