Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 23:08 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 58.36%1.71fair odd
EV -0.196%
Edge -0.115%
Kelly -0.276%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%58.29%58.27%59.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.7162.50%60.62%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 41.64%2.40fair odd
EV -0.076%
Edge -0.032%
Kelly -0.054%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.74%41.71%41.73%43.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.272.282.4045.87%43.98%43.86%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 58.36%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 41.64%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.402. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.400, with an expected value of -0.076%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -0.196%E -0.115%K -0.276%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -7.15%E -3.21%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.780%E -0.459%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.780%E -0.459%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.37%EV -1.36%E -0.807%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.63%EV -1.32%E -0.559%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-10 23:05
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.16%E -0.918%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-10 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 23:00
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 23:00
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 23:00
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.24%E -4.24%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.24%E -4.24%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.24%E -4.24%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.24%E -4.24%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.53%E -1.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -0.908%E -0.382%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-10 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.11%E -1.88%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.07%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:55
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.076%E -0.032%K -0.054%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.492%E -0.206%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-10 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.492%E -0.206%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-10 22:30
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.32%E -0.559%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-10 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:55
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:00
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 21:54
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:54
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 22:55
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.87%E -2.98%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.16%E -0.918%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 21:55
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.87%E -2.98%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -3.41%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 22:43
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.87%E -2.98%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.87%E -2.98%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.07%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.87%E -2.98%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.07%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 21:55
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.87%E -2.98%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:10
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.87%E -2.98%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:10
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.16%E -0.918%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.16%E -0.918%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 22:43
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 22:55
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 22:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 22:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:05
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-04-10 23:05
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-10 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-10 23:05
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.44%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.56%0.7%2026-04-10 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-10 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-10 22:35
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-10 22:55
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-10 21:40
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-10 23:05
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-04-10 22:55