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Toronto Blue Jays v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 56.38%1.77fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.766%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.27%56.42%56.37%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.691.691.7560.61%59.03%59.17%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 43.62%2.29fair odd
EV -0.539%
Edge -0.236%
Kelly -0.421%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%43.58%43.63%44.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.112.202.202.2847.39%45.54%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 56.38%; Houston Astros (Visit): 43.62%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -0.539%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.34%E -0.766%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.34%E -0.766%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.34%E -0.766%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.16%E -1.42%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.34%E -0.766%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.16%E -1.42%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.34%E -0.766%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.16%E -1.42%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-24 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 22:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -2.47%E -1.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -1.85%E -0.821%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-24 20:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.03%E -1.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.539%E -0.236%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.03%E -1.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.85%E -0.821%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-24 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.60%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.41%E -0.624%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-24 20:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.60%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.85%E -0.821%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-24 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.60%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.60%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.60%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.60%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.60%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.60%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.90%E -2.25%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-24 15:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.72%E -1.22%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.72%E -1.22%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-24 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-24 15:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-24 22:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-24 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-24 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.46%E -2.04%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.90%E -2.25%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.34%E -2.46%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.77%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.77%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 15:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.41%E -3.86%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -5.77%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -7.95%E -3.77%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-24 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75% | 0.4% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-06-24 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-06-24 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-24 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.7% | 2026-06-24 22:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 2.6% | 2026-06-24 22:30 |