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Toronto Blue Jays v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 54.38%1.84fair odd
EV -0.489%
Edge -0.267%
Kelly -0.589%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%54.49%54.29%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.751.8359.52%57.17%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 45.62%2.19fair odd
EV -0.544%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.461%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.51%45.71%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.1851.28%47.41%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 54.38%; Houston Astros (Visit): 45.62%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -0.489%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.489%E -0.267%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-22 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.489%E -0.267%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.04%E -5.66%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.12%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.12%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.12%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.82%E -1.33%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.12%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.82%E -1.33%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.46%E -0.674%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.46%E -0.674%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 19:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 20:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 19:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 18:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.11%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-22 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 18:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 18:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 22:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.11%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.11%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -0.544%E -0.249%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-22 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -1.46%E -0.674%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -1.46%E -0.674%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 19:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 18:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-22 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 22:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-22 17:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.65%E -5.15%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-22 22:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-22 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-06-22 22:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29% | 2.7% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |