默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Toronto Blue Jays v Detroit Tigers

开赛时间： 2026-09-14 23:08 UTC

最终结果： Toronto Blue Jays 5–6 Detroit Tigers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

56%

44%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Toronto Blue Jays (主队)

预测 56.49%1.77公平赔率

EV -1.14%

优势 -0.652%

Kelly -1.52%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布

55.26%56.51%56.43%57.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.611.691.681.7562.11%59.27%59.52%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Detroit Tigers (客队)

预测 43.51%2.30公平赔率

EV +0.071%

优势 +0.031%

Kelly +0.055%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

42.60%43.49%43.57%44.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.59%45.45%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Toronto Blue Jays (主队)：56.49%；Detroit Tigers (客队)：43.51%。对于“Detroit Tigers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.298。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.300，对应+0.071%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
GTbets🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.071%E +0.031%K +0.055%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-14 23:05
Everygame🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.071%E +0.031%K +0.055%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-14 23:05
1xBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.23%E -0.544%K -0.972%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-14 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.23%E -0.544%K -0.972%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-14 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.23%E -0.544%K -0.972%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-14 23:05
BetUS🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.67%E -0.738%K -1.32%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-09-14 23:05
BetAnything🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.67%E -0.738%K -1.32%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-14 23:04
Bovada🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 23:05
Caesars🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 21:35
Pinnacle🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.14%E -0.652%K -1.52%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.54%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-09-14 23:00
DraftKings🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.97%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.18%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-14 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-14 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-14 19:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-14 19:25
ReBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-14 22:55
FanDuel🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 19:20
Coral🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 19:20
TAB🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 19:20
LeoVegas🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 22:55
Fanatics🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-14 23:04
betfred_uk🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-14 23:05
Fliff🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-14 22:35
PlayUp🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 23:05
Bet Right🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:55
Casumo🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
BetRivers🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
betPARX🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
Unibet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
TABtouch🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 19:39
Betr (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 19:39
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-14 19:20
BetMGM🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 23:05
Betsson🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 19:25
NordicBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 19:25
SportsBet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-14 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-14 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 19:20
Neds🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 19:20
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 23:05
Betway🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-14 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-14 22:55
Paddy Power🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-14 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-14 19:25
Grosvenor🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -7.92%E -4.86%K -12.57%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-14 22:35
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.20%E -3.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-14 22:55
Bet Victor🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-14 22:53
betano_uk🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-14 22:53
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.84%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-14 22:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Novig◎	1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%	0.6%	2026-09-14 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%	0.7%	2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%	0.7%	2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%	0.7%	2026-09-14 22:35
ProphetX◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%	2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%	0.8%	2026-09-14 23:05
Matchbook◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%	1.0%	2026-09-14 23:05
Kalshi◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-09-14 18:00
Polymarket◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-09-14 14:15
Smarkets◎	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.7%	2026-09-14 23:05
BetOpenly◎	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%	2.9%	2026-09-14 22:50

Toronto Blue Jays v Detroit Tigers

胜负盘

Toronto Blue Jays (主队)

Detroit Tigers (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)