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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Toronto Blue Jays v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-09-14 23:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 5–6 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 56.49%1.77odd justa
EV -1.14%
Vantagem -0.652%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.26%56.51%56.43%57.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.691.681.7562.11%59.27%59.52%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 43.51%2.30odd justa
EV +0.071%
Vantagem +0.031%
Kelly +0.055%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.60%43.49%43.57%44.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.59%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 56.49%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 43.51%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.298. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.300, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.071%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.071%E +0.031%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-14 23:05
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.071%E +0.031%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-14 23:05
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.23%E -0.544%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-14 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.23%E -0.544%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-14 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.23%E -0.544%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-14 23:05
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.67%E -0.738%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-14 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.67%E -0.738%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 23:04
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 23:05
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 21:35
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.14%E -0.652%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.54%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-14 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.97%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 19:25
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 19:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 19:20
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 23:04
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 23:05
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 22:35
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:55
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 19:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 19:39
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 23:05
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 19:20
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 19:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 23:05
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -7.92%E -4.86%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.20%E -3.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 22:53
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 22:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 22:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-09-14 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-14 22:35
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-09-14 23:05
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-14 23:05
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-14 18:00
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-14 14:15
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-09-14 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-09-14 22:50