The School of Odds

Toronto Blue Jays v Chicago White Sox

2026-07-17 23:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 54.52%1.83fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%54.48%54.55%54.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.741.7960%58%57%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 45.48%2.20fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.603%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.03%45.52%45.45%45.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.972.082.102.1751%48%48%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.31%E -0.603%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-15 20:28
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.50%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 00:40
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.04%E -2.30%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.58%E -1.69%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 19:20
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.04%E -2.30%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.58%E -1.69%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 19:23
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.04%E -2.30%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 19:25
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.04%E -2.30%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 19:25
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.59%E -2.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 19:29
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.59%E -2.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.59%E -2.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 00:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.59%E -2.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 02:09
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.59%E -2.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.40%E -2.60%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-15 19:29
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 20:24
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 23:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 19:29
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 19:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 19:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 00:35
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 00:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 00:39
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.40%E -2.60%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 19:23
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 19:19
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.86%E -4.65%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 19:29
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -9.50%E -5.72%K -14.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -9.95%E -5.02%K -10.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-15 20:24
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -9.50%E -5.72%K -14.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-15 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-15 21:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-16 02:10
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%9.9%2026-07-16 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 36.07%1.01I 99.01%NM 63.93%54.9%2026-07-16 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 36.07%1.01I 99.01%NM 63.93%54.9%2026-07-16 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-16 01:55