The School of Odds
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Toronto Blue Jays v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-07-17 23:16 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 4–12 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 54.89%1.82fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%54.78%54.88%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.741.741.7959.17%57.44%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 45.11%2.22fair odd
EV -0.758%
Edge -0.344%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.22%45.12%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.122.2050.00%47.31%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 54.89%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 45.11%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.758%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.75%E -0.976%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.11%E -0.973%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-17 22:24
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.30%E -1.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.21%E -0.552%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-17 22:44
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.30%E -1.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.11%E -0.973%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-17 22:44
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.30%E -1.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.11%E -0.973%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-17 22:44
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -2.30%E -1.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-17 22:34
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -2.30%E -1.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-17 22:34
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.85%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.21%E -0.552%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-17 22:49
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.85%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.66%E -0.761%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-17 22:59
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.85%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 23:04
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.85%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 21:09
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.85%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.85%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:09
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.39%E -1.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.758%E -0.344%K -0.631%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-17 23:14
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.39%E -1.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 22:50
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.39%E -1.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.62%E -3.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:09
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.39%E -1.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.62%E -3.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:09
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -1.21%E -0.552%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-17 22:54
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-16 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.46%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 22:49
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.46%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 22:49
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 02:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 23:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.78%E -4.89%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:14
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 17:19
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-16 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 22:49
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-16 18:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.92%E -1.84%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 02:50
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:34
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:49
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:24
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:09
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 23:14
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 16:15
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 20:15
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:35
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:34
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:34
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:34
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:34
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 19:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 19:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 17:29
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 17:30
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 20:48
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 22:50
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:29
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:29
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:29
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 23:04
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 02:50
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 15:19
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.14%E -3.59%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:24
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.69%E -3.93%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 22:49
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.69%E -3.93%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.17%E -2.97%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 22:34
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.69%E -3.93%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 22:49
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.69%E -3.93%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:08
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.24%E -4.28%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-17 23:09
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-07-17 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-17 23:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-17 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-17 23:14
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-17 23:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-17 22:19
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-17 03:05
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-07-17 23:14
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-07-17 23:05