Language:English
Toronto Blue Jays v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 43.33%2.31fair odd
EV +1.83%
Edge +0.780%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.48%43.23%43.32%44.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.232.3547.62%45.07%44.84%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 56.67%1.76fair odd
EV -0.267%
Edge -0.152%
Kelly -0.351%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.13%56.77%56.68%58.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.681.7662.50%59.47%59.52%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 43.33%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 56.67%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +1.83%E +0.780%K +1.36%G +0.025% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -4.23%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.333%E -0.145%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.333%E -0.145%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 18:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.20%E -0.526%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.53%E -1.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-13 18:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.20%E -0.526%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.20%E -0.526%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -1.63%E -0.719%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -1.63%E -0.719%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 18:43 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.07%E -0.914%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-13 15:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.40%E -0.805%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-13 18:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.40%E -0.805%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-13 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.40%E -0.805%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-13 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.53%E -1.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-13 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.53%E -1.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-13 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -0.834%E -0.476%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-13 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.40%E -0.805%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.53%E -1.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -0.267%E -0.152%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.10%E -1.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 18:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.10%E -1.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 18:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.23%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 18:43 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.23%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 18:42 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.23%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.97%E -2.75%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.23%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 19:03 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.97%E -2.75%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.40%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -0.834%E -0.476%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 18:42 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 17:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.70%E -3.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-13 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 18:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86% | -0.1% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 18:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 18:59 |