The School of Odds

Texas Rangers v Seattle Mariners

2026-07-25 23:16 UTC — MLB

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Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 49.21%2.03fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%49.31%49.19%50.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.841.921.921.9954%52%52%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 50.79%1.97fair odd
EV -0.447%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.465%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.69%50.81%51.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.781.891.901.9656%53%53%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.48%E -1.29%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.48%E -1.29%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 18:45
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.48%E -1.29%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 18:45
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.447%E -0.228%K -0.465%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-24 18:29
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.51%E -2.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 20:25
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.02%E -2.68%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 18:49
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.02%E -2.68%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 18:48
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.02%E -2.68%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 20:25
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.51%E -2.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 20:25
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.51%E -2.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 18:50
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.52%E -2.88%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 18:25
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.88%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.53%E -2.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 20:25
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 18:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 19:49
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.00%E -2.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.53%E -2.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 20:25
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 20:25
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 18:15
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 18:15
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 18:15
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 18:15
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -9.46%E -5.14%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -9.08%E -5.07%K -11.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 20:25
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.46%E -5.14%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.59%E -5.39%K -12.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 20:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-24 18:15
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-24 18:15
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-24 20:20
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%10.2%2026-07-24 20:25