Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v San Francisco Giants

Início: 2026-08-04 00:06 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 1–5 San Francisco Giants

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Previsão 54.21%1.84odd justa
EV -0.804%
Vantagem -0.439%
Kelly -0.969%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%54.01%54.23%55.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.761.761.8358.82%56.76%56.82%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 45.79%2.18odd justa
EV -1.08%
Vantagem -0.502%
Kelly -0.934%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.16%45.99%45.77%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.082.102.1651.28%48.02%47.62%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Texas Rangers (Local): 54.21%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 45.79%. Para Texas Rangers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.84. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.83, com valor esperado de -0.804%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.804%E -0.439%K -0.969%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-03 21:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -0.804%E -0.439%K -0.969%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -1.89%E -1.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-03 23:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.89%E -1.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.46%E -1.15%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-03 23:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.89%E -1.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.46%E -1.15%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-03 23:59
Caesars🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.89%E -1.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.46%E -1.15%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-03 23:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 23:54
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:04
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 23:55
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.08%E -0.502%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 00:00
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 21:44
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.00%E -0.934%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 23:54
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 23:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 23:39
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:44
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.29%E -2.05%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:54
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 23:39
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 23:40
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 23:40
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 22:39
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:05
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:54
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 00:00
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 23:59
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 23:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 23:54
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:39
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 23:59
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 00:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 23:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 23:54
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 22:05
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 00:05
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 22:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-03 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-04 00:00
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%0.9%2026-08-04 00:05
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-03 19:25
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-03 23:40
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-08-04 00:05
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-08-04 00:00
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-08-04 00:05
BetOpenly◎1.80I 55.56%NM 53.73%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.27%3.4%2026-08-03 23:59