Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v San Francisco Giants

2026-08-04 00:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 50.24%1.99momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.524%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.94%50.27%50.20%51.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.891.901.9755.56%52.87%52.63%50.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 49.76%2.01momio equitativo
EV -0.475%
Ventaja -0.238%
Kelly -0.475%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%49.73%49.80%51.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.921.922.0054.05%52.00%52.22%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Texas Rangers (Local): 50.24%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 49.76%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.01. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.00, con un valor esperado de -0.475%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.03%E -0.524%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 00:25
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.03%E -0.524%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 00:25
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.03%E -0.524%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 03:29
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 00:29
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 00:29
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 02:20
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -3.04%E -1.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -0.475%E -0.238%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-02 23:30
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.04%E -1.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.95%E -3.15%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:45
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.04%E -1.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 21:24
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -3.54%E -1.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -0.475%E -0.238%K -0.475%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 20:22
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.54%E -1.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 02:19
DraftKings1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -3.54%E -1.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 01:00
MyBookie.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 02:03
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 23:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 23:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 19:55
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 00:14
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 00:24
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 00:30
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:00
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 23:39
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 20:40
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:25
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:25
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:24
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:25
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:25
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 19:30
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:39
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 23:29
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:44
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.46%E -2.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:45
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 00:44
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 01:15
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 01:15
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 01:14
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.47%E -1.26%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 01:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:50
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 00:43
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 00:45
betano_uk1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 00:44
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 02:49
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 00:43
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.56%E -3.53%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 01:14
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.56%E -3.53%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 01:15
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.56%E -3.53%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 20:15
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 01:15
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 01:15
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 01:14
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 01:15
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 01:15
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 01:15
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.57%E -4.71%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.44%E -4.00%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 00:45
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.57%E -4.71%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-03 00:40
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -9.57%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 01:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-03 02:40
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-03 04:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-03 04:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-08-03 04:35
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-08-03 04:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%2.6%2026-08-03 04:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%2.6%2026-08-03 04:30
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%2.8%2026-08-03 04:35