Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.92
assuming max odds 2.06
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 51.21%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 48.79%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.500%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV +0.500%E +0.243%K +0.471%G +0.002% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -3.21%E -1.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -0.476%E -0.233%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-21 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -0.476%E -0.233%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -0.476%E -0.233%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.45%E -0.719%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.45%E -0.719%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.45%E -0.719%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.45%E -0.719%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.45%E -0.719%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.45%E -0.719%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.45%E -0.719%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.45%E -0.719%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.82%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.45%E -0.719%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.82%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.45%E -0.719%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -1.67%E -0.870%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.94%E -0.965%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-21 23:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-21 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.43%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 21:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.67%E -0.870%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.92%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.67%E -0.870%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.92%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.67%E -0.870%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.92%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.67%E -0.870%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.92%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.40%E -1.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.40%E -1.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.40%E -1.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.40%E -1.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.40%E -1.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.40%E -1.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.77%E -3.13%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.82%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 08:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.38%E -2.23%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.38%E -2.23%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 21:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.38%E -2.23%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.69%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 00:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.69%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 23:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 23:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.77%E -3.13%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.35%E -2.76%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.33%E -3.30%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 00:03 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.82%E -3.57%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.74%E -2.55%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 00:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50% | 0.1% | 2026-04-21 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50% | 0.1% | 2026-04-21 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-04-22 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 00:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 00:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-22 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21% | 2.7% | 2026-04-22 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 00:05 |