Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers v Pittsburgh Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 00:06 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 58.61%1.71fair odd
EV -0.956%
Edge -0.566%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.84%58.65%58.67%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.621.6963.69%61.44%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 41.39%2.42fair odd
EV -0.654%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.467%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.35%41.33%42.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.322.332.4044.44%43.10%42.92%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 58.61%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 41.39%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -0.654%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.956%E -0.566%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.55%E -1.52%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.54%E -0.918%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-24 00:04
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.90%E -0.800%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 23:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 23:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 23:54
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 23:09
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 23:59
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.30%E -2.00%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 11:44
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.30%E -2.00%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.30%E -2.00%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.30%E -2.00%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:29
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.30%E -2.00%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.30%E -2.00%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:29
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.30%E -2.00%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 13:55
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.30%E -2.00%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.62%E -2.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.89%E -2.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.55%E -1.52%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.89%E -2.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:58
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -3.89%E -2.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.89%E -2.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.45%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.89%E -2.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.89%E -2.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.89%E -2.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.47%E -2.74%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.654%E -0.273%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.47%E -2.74%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 13:54
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.47%E -2.74%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.62%E -2.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:14
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.47%E -2.74%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.04%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:49
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.47%E -2.74%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.04%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.48%E -0.623%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.48%E -0.623%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.31%E -0.979%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 13:50
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:42
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:29
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:05
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:29
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:54
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:54
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:54
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:55
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.55%E -1.52%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:49
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.55%E -1.52%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:45
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.64%E -3.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 23:54
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:09
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:54
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.48%E -0.623%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:59
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:36
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-04-24 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-24 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-24 00:05
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-23 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-24 00:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-23 16:04
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-23 16:00
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-04-23 23:40
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.87%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.13%1.7%2026-04-24 00:05
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%3.0%2026-04-24 00:05