Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 1.94
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 48.87%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 51.13%. For Texas Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.046. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.050, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.189%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.189%E +0.092%K +0.180%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-22 23:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.189%E +0.092%K +0.180%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.300%E -0.147%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-22 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.300%E -0.147%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.35%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-22 10:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 21:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.95%E -3.82%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.95%E -3.82%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 23:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.32%E -0.686%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.90%E -2.64%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -0.813%E -0.419%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-22 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.93%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.93%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 22:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 23:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.90%E -2.64%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 23:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 23:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -5.19%E -2.67%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.32%E -0.686%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 23:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.19%E -2.67%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.35%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.67%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.64%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.19%E -2.67%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.93%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.35%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.35%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 23:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 23:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.90%E -2.64%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.35%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 02:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 23:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 15:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 15:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 22:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 23:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -5.93%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 0.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 0.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50% | 0.1% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-04-22 23:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |