The School of Odds

Texas Rangers v Houston Astros

2026-07-11 00:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 45.09%2.22fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.993%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.15%45.14%45.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.122.1750%47%47%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 54.91%1.82fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%54.85%54.86%55.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.661.731.731.7860%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.16%E -0.993%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.26%E -1.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 23:40
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.91%E -2.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 23:20
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.46%E -2.56%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 23:14
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.46%E -2.56%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 23:29
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 00:34
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 00:35
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 00:35
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:25
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.51%E -1.64%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.91%E -2.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 23:15
MyBookie.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.51%E -1.64%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.91%E -2.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 00:09
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.51%E -1.64%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 00:34
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.51%E -1.64%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.51%E -1.64%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 00:35
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.51%E -1.64%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 00:34
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.51%E -1.64%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 00:34
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.51%E -1.64%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 00:35
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:19
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:24
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.55%E -3.23%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:34
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.55%E -3.23%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:34
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.55%E -3.23%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:35
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.55%E -3.23%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:35
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.86%E -2.30%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 23:29
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.81%E -1.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 23:19
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.46%E -2.56%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 02:09
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:15
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:19
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:24
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:24
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:24
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:25
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 00:10
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 01:07
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.55%E -3.23%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 23:14
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.55%E -3.23%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 23:19
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 00:10
Betclic (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.76%E -2.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.55%E -3.23%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 23:18
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.21%E -2.99%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.91%E -2.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 23:29
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.21%E -2.99%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.65%E -3.91%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 00:34
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.66%E -3.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.36%E -1.91%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:20
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.66%E -3.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.36%E -1.91%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:19
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.30%E -4.97%K -12.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.85%E -5.33%K -13.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-09 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-10 00:45
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-09 23:55
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-07-10 02:14
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%4.6%2026-07-10 00:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%10.2%2026-07-09 23:15
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 45.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.34%12.9%2026-07-10 01:45