Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers v Houston Astros

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 00:06 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 7–3 Houston Astros

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 44.55%2.24fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.491%
Kelly -0.893%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.47%44.59%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2248.78%46.60%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 55.45%1.80fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%55.53%55.41%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.7860.61%58.05%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.09%E -0.491%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 23:59
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.53%E -0.694%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 21:00
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.53%E -0.694%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 00:04
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.98%E -0.900%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 20:45
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.98%E -0.900%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 20:44
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.98%E -0.900%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.41%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:25
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.98%E -0.900%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.51%E -5.16%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 05:05
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.43%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 00:04
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.43%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 00:04
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.43%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 00:04
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.43%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.42%E -1.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 00:04
Everygame2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.31%E -0.734%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:59
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-10 22:15
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 23:59
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 00:04
MyBookie.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.76%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 23:58
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.76%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:15
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.76%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:15
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 23:54
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 23:59
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 23:59
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 23:53
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:59
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:15
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:14
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:14
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:15
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:15
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 23:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 23:59
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 20:55
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 04:09
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 23:55
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 04:10
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 04:10
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 23:55
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 04:10
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 00:04
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 00:04
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.41%E -4.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:39
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 23:49
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:15
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:15
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:15
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.19%E -3.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:15
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:55
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:55
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:04
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 23:59
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 23:59
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:04
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 23:59
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 23:54
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 23:59
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 23:59
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.44%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 22:14
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.77%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.85%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 23:58
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.66%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.66%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-07-11 00:04
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-07-11 00:04
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-07-10 23:40
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-07-10 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-07-10 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-07-10 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-07-10 23:20
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-10 21:00
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-10 23:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-07-10 23:44