The School of Odds

Texas Rangers v Houston Astros

2026-07-11 23:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 52.65%1.90fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%52.65%52.63%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.801.8658%56%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 47.35%2.11fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.958%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.35%47.37%47.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.0753%50%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.07%E -1.11%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.98%E -0.958%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 18:05
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.65%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 17:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.65%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 17:45
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.18%E -2.30%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.40%E -1.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 17:45
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.18%E -2.30%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 17:54
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.23%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.23%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 17:54
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.23%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 17:49
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.23%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:44
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.23%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:44
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.23%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:54
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.23%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:53
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.23%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.23%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:54
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.23%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.23%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.23%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:54
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.76%E -3.22%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.77%E -2.90%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 17:55
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.81%E -3.85%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 17:44
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%EV -8.92%E -5.15%K -12.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -9.56%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-10 17:54
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.44%E -5.49%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -10.03%E -5.28%K -11.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-10 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%-0.1%2026-07-10 19:10
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-10 17:45
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%10.2%2026-07-10 17:55