Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers v Houston Astros

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 23:06 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 3–9 Houston Astros

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 52.26%1.91fair odd
EV -0.708%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.787%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%52.22%52.22%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.841.831.9056.82%54.33%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 47.74%2.09fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.568%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.78%47.78%49.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.982.002.0752.36%50.39%50.13%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.708%E -0.373%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.04%E -2.01%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.708%E -0.373%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.04%E -2.01%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 23:04
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.708%E -0.373%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.04%E -2.01%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 23:05
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.23%E -0.651%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.56%E -1.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 19:59
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -1.23%E -0.651%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.95%E -3.02%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 20:50
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.75%E -0.933%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.61%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-11 23:04
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.75%E -0.933%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.09%E -1.52%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 23:04
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.75%E -0.933%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:49
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.75%E -0.933%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:49
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.65%E -0.803%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-11 22:45
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.38%E -3.81%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:50
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.38%E -3.81%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:50
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.38%E -3.81%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:50
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.38%E -3.81%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:50
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.38%E -3.81%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.38%E -3.81%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:49
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.18%E -0.568%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 22:54
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.38%E -3.81%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:49
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.38%E -3.81%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:49
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.32%E -1.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-11 21:05
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 21:09
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 23:04
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:25
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.32%E -1.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.47%E -2.76%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.32%E -1.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:04
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.32%E -1.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:04
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.32%E -1.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.86%E -4.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:50
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.32%E -1.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.86%E -4.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:49
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.09%E -1.52%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 21:39
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.56%E -1.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 21:39
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.04%E -2.01%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 23:04
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:09
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 23:04
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:09
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 06:39
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:09
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 23:05
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 01:03
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.47%E -2.76%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:04
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.47%E -2.76%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 21:10
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.47%E -2.76%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:29
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.47%E -2.76%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:34
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:59
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 23:04
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 20:50
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 22:44
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 21:24
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.00%E -2.51%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:10
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.00%E -2.51%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 23:04
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.47%E -2.76%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.47%E -2.76%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 23:04
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 21:04
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 21:09
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 21:09
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 21:09
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 23:04
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 21:10
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.02%E -4.56%K -10.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 22:42
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-07-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-11 23:05
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-11 22:35
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-11 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-11 22:45
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-11 23:04
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-07-11 23:03
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.5%2026-07-11 23:05
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-11 23:05
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-07-11 23:04