Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers v Cincinnati Reds

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 18:36 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 53.26%1.88fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.790%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%53.33%53.25%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.8558.82%55.58%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visit)

Prediction 46.74%2.14fair odd
EV -0.919%
Edge -0.433%
Kelly -0.821%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.67%46.75%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.052.1251.28%49.20%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 53.26%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 46.74%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -0.919%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.46%E -0.790%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.79%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 18:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.46%E -0.790%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-05 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.46%E -0.790%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-05 18:15
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.46%E -0.790%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-05 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.46%E -0.790%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.46%E -0.790%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.85%E -0.883%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-05 18:24
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.919%E -0.433%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-05 17:15
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.46%E -3.77%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.46%E -3.77%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.93%E -4.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:15
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.93%E -4.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.93%E -4.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:00
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.93%E -4.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.93%E -4.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.93%E -4.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.93%E -4.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:15
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.93%E -4.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.53%E -1.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.93%E -4.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.06%E -1.68%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.66%E -2.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 13:29
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.85%E -0.883%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 18:15
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 22:59
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 22:59
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 01:39
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.66%E -2.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 11:59
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 13:29
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 23:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 18:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 20:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 23:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.13%E -2.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.86%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -5.19%E -2.92%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.32%E -1.11%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.19%E -2.92%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.79%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 16:40
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.19%E -2.92%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 18:16
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.19%E -2.92%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.19%E -2.92%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.19%E -2.92%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.13%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.19%E -2.92%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.13%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.72%E -3.23%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.85%E -0.883%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:04
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.72%E -3.23%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 18:05
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.72%E -3.23%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.72%E -3.23%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 17:14
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -6.26%E -3.55%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.32%E -1.11%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.26%E -3.55%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.26%E -3.55%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.26%E -3.55%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 18:35
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.79%E -3.88%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.79%E -3.88%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 11:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.79%E -3.88%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 11:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.79%E -3.88%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:31
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.85%E -4.54%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.45%E -5.56%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.85%E -0.883%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-05 18:34
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-05 18:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-05 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-04-05 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-04-05 18:25
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-05 18:30
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-04-05 18:35
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-04-05 18:35
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-04-05 18:35
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-04-05 18:35