Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-09-16 00:06 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 4–2 Boston Red Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 56.35%1.77fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.797%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.31%56.17%56.28%57.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.691.7562.11%59.17%59.17%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 43.65%2.29fair odd
EV +0.405%
Edge +0.176%
Kelly +0.311%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%43.83%43.72%45.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.202.3050.00%45.83%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 56.35%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 43.65%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.405%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.65%E -2.13%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.405%E +0.176%K +0.311%G +0.001%2.0%2026-09-15 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.52%E -1.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.905%E -0.399%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 23:55
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.52%E -1.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.905%E -0.399%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.65%E -2.13%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.905%E -0.399%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.65%E -2.13%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.905%E -0.399%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 22:55
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.65%E -2.13%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.34%E -0.593%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-15 23:20
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.65%E -2.13%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.21%E -0.989%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-15 21:00
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-16 00:04
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 23:50
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.40%E -0.797%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.09%E -1.39%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-15 22:50
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.09%E -1.39%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.52%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.65%E -2.13%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 20:30
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.65%E -2.13%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 20:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.65%E -2.13%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 21:45
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 22:29
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 23:55
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:05
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:05
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:05
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:05
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 23:54
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.53%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.53%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.53%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.53%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.53%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.83%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.47%E -3.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.27%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.47%E -3.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.27%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 00:05
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.71%E -2.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.71%E -2.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.40%E -0.797%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-16 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.65%E -2.13%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 20:30
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 20:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:40
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:40
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 23:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 23:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.90%E -3.53%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 20:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.90%E -3.53%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -8.72%E -5.38%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -7.89%E -3.74%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 23:54
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.65%E -2.13%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 00:04
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 23:50
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 23:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 20:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.40%E -0.797%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -9.20%E -4.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.28%E -5.77%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 23:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -6.47%E -3.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -12.69%E -6.35%K -12.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-16 00:05
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-09-16 00:05
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-09-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-15 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-15 23:50
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-16 00:05
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-15 20:30
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-09-16 00:05
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-09-15 23:50
BetOpenly◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-09-16 00:04