Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers v Baltimore Orioles

2026-08-08 00:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 56.25%1.78fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.71%56.27%56.27%56.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.681.7461.73%59.20%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 43.75%2.29fair odd
EV -0.693%
Edge -0.305%
Kelly -0.545%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.11%43.73%43.73%44.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.202.2748.78%45.84%45.45%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Texas Rangers (Local): 56.25%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 43.75%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.27, with an expected value of -0.693%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.57%E -0.697%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 18:19
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.57%E -0.697%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.57%E -0.697%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.88%E -1.30%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.88%E -1.30%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 17:55
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -3.25%E -1.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -0.693%E -0.305%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.63%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 17:45
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 17:55
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 17:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 17:45
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 17:50
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 17:45
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 17:44
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.31%E -5.10%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.87%E -5.48%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-06 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-06 19:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-06 17:50
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%9.9%2026-08-06 17:45
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 67.11%2.04I 49.02%NM 32.89%49.0%2026-08-06 18:45