Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Washington Nationals

Kickoff: 2026-06-21 17:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 4–3 Washington Nationals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 54.89%1.82fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.52%54.80%54.83%55.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.751.751.8060.98%57.16%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 45.11%2.22fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.70%45.20%45.17%46.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.64%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 54.89%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 45.11%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.19%E -0.664%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.02%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-21 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.19%E -0.664%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.47%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.19%E -0.664%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.92%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-21 17:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.19%E -0.664%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.92%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-21 17:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.19%E -0.664%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-21 17:39
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.74%E -0.974%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.12%E -0.975%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-21 16:30
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.74%E -0.974%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.57%E -1.19%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 17:39
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.74%E -0.974%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.57%E -1.19%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 14:39
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.29%E -1.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.66%E -0.763%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-21 03:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.29%E -1.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.29%E -1.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 17:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.29%E -1.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.53%E -3.67%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.84%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 14:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.84%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 12:09
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.84%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.63%E -3.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.84%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.63%E -3.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:40
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.84%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.63%E -3.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:39
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.84%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.63%E -3.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.84%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.63%E -3.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.84%E -1.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.63%E -3.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.39%E -1.93%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.63%E -3.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 14:39
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.39%E -1.93%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.63%E -3.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 14:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.39%E -1.93%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.08%E -3.44%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.39%E -1.93%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.08%E -3.44%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.39%E -1.93%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.08%E -3.44%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.39%E -1.93%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.08%E -3.44%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:39
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.39%E -1.93%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.08%E -3.44%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.02%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.47%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 15:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.92%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 15:19
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 16:19
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 16:39
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.94%E -2.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.02%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 02:00
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.02%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 15:28
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.02%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 07:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 16:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.72%E -2.74%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 17:38
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.98%E -3.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.47%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 15:19
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 15:30
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.37%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 15:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 02:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 14:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.53%E -3.67%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 15:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 15:19
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.13%E -3.59%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 17:39
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.13%E -3.59%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.68%E -3.93%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 10:09
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.68%E -3.93%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 17:30
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.68%E -3.93%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.23%E -4.28%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -7.98%E -3.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 17:17
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.98%E -6.08%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -9.78%E -4.89%K -9.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-21 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-06-21 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-21 17:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-21 17:39
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-06-21 17:40
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-06-21 17:40
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-06-21 17:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-06-21 16:20
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-21 14:20