Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Washington Nationals

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 20:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 3–4 Washington Nationals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 52.68%1.90fair odd
EV -0.438%
Edge -0.232%
Kelly -0.493%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%52.74%52.63%54.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.801.8958.14%55.37%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 47.32%2.11fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.593%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.38%47.26%47.37%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.022.1452.36%49.29%49.50%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 52.68%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 47.32%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV +1.27%E +0.593%K +1.11%G +0.014%2.9%2026-06-20 19:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.624%E -0.297%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-20 17:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -0.624%E -0.297%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 19:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -0.624%E -0.297%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-20 19:09
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.624%E -0.297%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.624%E -0.297%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 19:09
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.624%E -0.297%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 19:09
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.624%E -0.297%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 19:09
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.624%E -0.297%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.624%E -0.297%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.57%E -0.755%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 17:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.57%E -0.755%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 19:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.57%E -0.755%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 19:09
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.57%E -0.755%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 19:09
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -9.39%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -2.04%E -0.987%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 19:09
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.49%E -0.798%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-20 19:19
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 20:10
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.965%E -0.513%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-20 19:29
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.49%E -0.798%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 20:00
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.49%E -0.798%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 20:09
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.49%E -0.798%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 20:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 19:19
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 14:19
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 07:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 05:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.49%E -0.798%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.46%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-20 19:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.49%E -0.798%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.46%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-20 20:00
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.46%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 14:19
BetAnything🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -0.438%E -0.232%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 20:09
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 20:10
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 20:10
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 07:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 03:00
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 20:09
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 19:59
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 19:59
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 19:59
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 20:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:29
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 05:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 16:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.83%E -2.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 19:49
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 20:09
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 18:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -1.49%E -0.798%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -6.78%E -3.44%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.78%E -3.44%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 20:09
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.72%E -3.96%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -3.07%E -1.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -8.20%E -4.22%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 20:09
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.49%E -0.798%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.62%E -5.03%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 20:09
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.62%E -5.03%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-20 20:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-20 16:20
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-20 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-06-20 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-06-20 20:10
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-06-20 20:10
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-06-20 20:09
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-06-20 20:10
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-06-20 20:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-06-20 20:10