The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Tampa Bay Rays v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-08-18 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 5–10 Toronto Blue Jays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 55.22%1.81fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.647%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.28%55.21%56.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.721.721.7960.24%58.04%58.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 44.78%2.23fair odd
EV +0.310%
Edge +0.138%
Kelly +0.250%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.40%44.72%44.79%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.122.2450.00%46.97%47.17%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 55.22%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 44.78%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.310%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV +0.310%E +0.138%K +0.250%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-18 09:14
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -0.138%E -0.062%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-18 22:40
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.586%E -0.264%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-18 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.03%E -0.468%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -1.03%E -0.468%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-18 12:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.48%E -0.673%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 12:55
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.48%E -0.673%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 19:46
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.673%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.673%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.48%E -0.673%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-18 22:40
Caesars🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.16%E -0.647%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.83%E -1.30%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-18 12:53
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.71%E -0.961%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.83%E -1.30%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.83%E -1.30%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-18 22:35
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 22:39
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 12:44
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 20:55
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:25
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:38
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 19:30
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 13:09
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:35
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 12:53
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 12:55
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:00
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.51%E -2.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:20
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 19:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 12:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 22:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 19:25
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 22:25
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.13%E -3.60%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.13%E -3.60%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.13%E -3.60%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.68%E -3.95%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.13%E -3.60%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.23%E -4.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.13%E -3.60%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 22:38
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.13%E -3.60%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 22:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.68%E -3.95%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 22:13
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.34%E -5.02%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.34%E -5.02%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.44%E -5.22%K -10.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-18 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-18 22:35
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-18 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-18 19:25
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-18 22:40
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-18 22:40
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-08-18 22:35
BetOpenly◎1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%4.3%2026-08-18 22:30