Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.88
assuming max odds 2.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 52.87%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 47.13%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -0.595%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -0.595%E -0.317%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -2.92%E -1.42%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.12%E -0.601%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.39%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.12%E -0.601%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.39%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.12%E -0.601%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.39%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.12%E -0.601%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.86%E -1.89%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-03 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.12%E -0.601%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.86%E -1.89%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -1.12%E -0.601%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.18%E -1.18%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.18%E -1.18%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.18%E -1.18%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.18%E -1.18%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.04%E -0.494%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.28%E -2.63%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 17:23 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.69%E -3.38%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.69%E -3.38%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.69%E -3.38%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.16%E -3.64%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.16%E -3.64%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.16%E -3.64%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.16%E -3.64%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.16%E -3.64%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.16%E -3.64%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.16%E -3.64%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.16%E -3.64%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.16%E -3.64%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.16%E -3.64%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.63%E -3.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.24%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.63%E -3.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.77%E -2.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.77%E -2.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.77%E -2.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.30%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.83%E -2.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 15:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.83%E -2.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.39%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.83%E -2.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.39%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.83%E -2.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.39%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.83%E -2.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.39%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.83%E -2.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.39%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.83%E -2.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.86%E -1.89%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.83%E -2.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.83%E -2.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.83%E -2.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.83%E -2.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.83%E -2.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 15:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.88%E -3.31%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.88%E -3.31%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.86%E -1.89%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.88%E -3.31%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.94%E -3.94%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.47%E -4.27%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.39%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.47%E -4.27%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.39%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.47%E -4.27%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.39%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.47%E -4.27%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.39%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.47%E -4.27%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.53%E -4.93%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.04%E -0.494%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | -0.0% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |