The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 17:10 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 4–12 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 56.84%1.76fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.633%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.27%56.83%56.85%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.671.7461.73%59.63%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 43.16%2.32fair odd
EV -0.728%
Edge -0.317%
Kelly -0.560%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.17%43.15%44.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.222.232.3046.95%44.96%44.84%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.10%E -0.633%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 17:03
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.59%E -0.698%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 17:05
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 16:44
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 17:04
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 16:59
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.728%E -0.317%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 16:39
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.16%E -0.506%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 16:48
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.16%E -0.506%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 16:50
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-09 17:00
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 16:59
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.37%E -1.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.37%E -1.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.18%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 17:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.37%E -1.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:44
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.37%E -1.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.37%E -1.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.37%E -1.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:54
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:45
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-09 16:39
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-09 16:39
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-09 16:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 17:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:39
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.48%E -2.50%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 17:05
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 16:54
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:04
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.51%E -2.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:04
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 16:44
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 17:05
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 17:05
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 17:05
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.18%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:54
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.61%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:39
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 17:00
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 17:04
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.59%E -0.698%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 17:05
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 17:00
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:05
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:05
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.59%E -0.698%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 17:05
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 15:19
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:39
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:39
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 17:00
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 16:39
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -8.07%E -3.79%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 17:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.728%E -0.317%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 03:55
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 17:05
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-09 17:04
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-09 16:55
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-09 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-07-09 17:05
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-07-09 17:05
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-07-09 17:05
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-07-09 16:55