The School of Odds

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

2026-07-09 17:10 — MLB

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 58.34%1.71fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%58.43%58.23%59.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.631.69MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
56.70%1.764Min
59.79%1.672Max
58.43%1.712Mean
58.23%1.717Median
58.34%1.714IQM
58.41%1.712Margin-weighted

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 41.66%2.40fair odd
EV -0.857%
Edge -0.360%
Kelly -0.621%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.21%41.57%41.77%43.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.38MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
40.21%2.487Min
43.30%2.310Max
41.57%2.405Mean
41.77%2.394Median
41.66%2.401IQM
41.59%2.405Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTampa Bay Rays (Local) ▼New York Yankees (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.69I 59.17% NM 57.96%EV -1.40% E -0.828% K -2.03% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 42.04%EV -2.94% E -1.26% K -2.21% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 07:09
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -1.98% E -1.18% K -2.92% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -8.35% E -3.80% K -6.96% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 07:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -2.57% E -1.54% K -3.83% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-09 03:14
Neds1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -2.57% E -1.54% K -3.83% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -8.35% E -3.80% K -6.96% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 05:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -2.57% E -1.54% K -3.83% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -8.35% E -3.80% K -6.96% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 05:14
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61% NM 58.33%EV -3.73% E -2.26% K -5.74% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 41.67%EV -3.77% E -1.63% K -2.88% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 03:19
Fanatics1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.73% E -2.26% K -5.74% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 03:14
Caesars1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.73% E -2.26% K -5.74% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 03:19
TAB1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.73% E -2.26% K -5.74% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 03:19
ReBet1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.73% E -2.26% K -5.74% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 05:15
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.73% E -2.26% K -5.74% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 04:00
Fliff1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -3.73% E -2.26% K -5.74% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -6.27% E -2.79% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 07:15
BetMGM1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -3.73% E -2.26% K -5.74% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -6.27% E -2.79% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 05:14
Coral1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -3.73% E -2.26% K -5.74% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -6.27% E -2.79% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -3.73% E -2.26% K -5.74% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -6.27% E -2.79% K -5.02% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 05:14
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.59%EV -4.32% E -2.63% K -6.75% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.41%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 03:40
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.59%EV -4.32% E -2.63% K -6.75% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.41%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 03:40
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98% NM 58.59%EV -4.32% E -2.63% K -6.75% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.41%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 03:40
DraftKings1.64I 60.98% NM 58.27%EV -4.32% E -2.63% K -6.75% G +0.000%2.29I 43.67% NM 41.73%EV -4.61% E -2.01% K -3.57% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 03:15
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.06%EV -4.32% E -2.63% K -6.75% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.94%EV -5.44% E -2.40% K -4.28% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 03:19
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98% NM 57.95%EV -4.32% E -2.63% K -6.75% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 42.05%EV -5.86% E -2.59% K -4.65% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 07:05
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35% NM 59.05%EV -4.90% E -3.01% K -7.78% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.95%EV -2.11% E -0.896% K -1.56% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 03:24
FanDuel1.63I 61.35% NM 58.94%EV -4.90% E -3.01% K -7.78% G +0.000%2.34I 42.74% NM 41.06%EV -2.52% E -1.08% K -1.88% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 03:55
Bovada1.63I 61.35% NM 58.73%EV -4.90% E -3.01% K -7.78% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.27%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 06:29
Bet Right1.63I 61.35% NM 58.52%EV -4.90% E -3.01% K -7.78% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.48%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 07:25
PlayUp1.63I 61.35% NM 58.52%EV -4.90% E -3.01% K -7.78% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.48%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 06:45
Betsson1.63I 61.35% NM 58.21%EV -4.90% E -3.01% K -7.78% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.79%EV -5.44% E -2.40% K -4.28% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 03:20
NordicBet1.63I 61.35% NM 58.21%EV -4.90% E -3.01% K -7.78% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.79%EV -5.44% E -2.40% K -4.28% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 03:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73% NM 59.50%EV -5.48% E -3.39% K -8.85% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 40.50%EV -0.857% E -0.360% K -0.621% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 05:39
SportsBet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.78%EV -5.48% E -3.39% K -8.85% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 41.22%EV -3.77% E -1.63% K -2.88% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 05:14
Betway1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.48% E -3.39% K -8.85% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 03:20
888sport1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.48% E -3.39% K -8.85% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 03:19
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.48% E -3.39% K -8.85% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 03:19
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.48% E -3.39% K -8.85% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 03:19
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.48% E -3.39% K -8.85% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 03:19
William Hill1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.48% E -3.39% K -8.85% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 03:55
Coolbet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.48% E -3.39% K -8.85% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 05:50
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.48% E -3.39% K -8.85% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.27% E -2.79% K -5.02% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 03:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.48% E -3.39% K -8.85% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.27% E -2.79% K -5.02% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 03:20
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.48% E -3.39% K -8.85% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.27% E -2.79% K -5.02% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 03:20
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -6.07% E -3.77% K -9.95% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -6.27% E -2.79% K -5.02% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 05:15
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -6.07% E -3.77% K -9.95% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -6.27% E -2.79% K -5.02% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 03:19
Casumo1.60I 62.50% NM 59.18%EV -6.65% E -4.16% K -11.09% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.82%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 03:40
Unibet1.60I 62.50% NM 59.18%EV -6.65% E -4.16% K -11.09% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.82%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50% NM 59.18%EV -6.65% E -4.16% K -11.09% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.82%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 03:40
betPARX1.60I 62.50% NM 59.18%EV -6.65% E -4.16% K -11.09% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.82%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 03:40
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50% NM 59.18%EV -6.65% E -4.16% K -11.09% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.82%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 03:40
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50% NM 59.18%EV -6.65% E -4.16% K -11.09% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.82%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 03:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.65% E -4.16% K -11.09% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 05:24
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.65% E -4.16% K -11.09% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.19% E -1.82% K -3.22% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 03:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29% NM 59.49%EV -7.82% E -4.95% K -13.48% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.51%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 03:40
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29% NM 59.49%EV -7.82% E -4.95% K -13.48% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.51%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 03:40
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29% NM 58.20%EV -7.82% E -4.95% K -13.48% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.80%EV -8.35% E -3.80% K -6.96% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-09 03:19
BetRivers1.57I 63.69% NM 59.64%EV -8.40% E -5.35% K -14.74% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.36%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 03:40
TABtouch1.57I 63.69% NM 59.64%EV -8.40% E -5.35% K -14.74% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.36%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 03:40
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10% NM 59.79%EV -8.98% E -5.76% K -16.04% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.21%EV -3.36% E -1.45% K -2.54% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 03:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerTampa Bay Rays (Local)New York Yankees (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48% NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67% NM 41.61%0.1%2026-07-09 05:45
ProphetX1.68I 59.52% NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32% NM 40.98%0.8%2026-07-09 06:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17% NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02% NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-09 06:05
Novig1.68I 59.52% NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02% NM 41.38%1.5%2026-07-09 06:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88% NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02% NM 41.23%1.9%2026-07-09 05:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88% NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37% NM 41.44%2.3%2026-07-09 06:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88% NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37% NM 41.44%2.3%2026-07-09 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88% NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37% NM 41.44%2.3%2026-07-09 06:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%4.1%2026-07-09 07:00
Smarkets1.57I 63.69% NM 57.68%2.14I 46.73% NM 42.32%10.4%2026-07-09 04:05