Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 23:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 48.93%2.04fair odd
EV +0.790%
Edge +0.383%
Kelly +0.745%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.72%48.95%49.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.981.982.0652.63%50.63%50.51%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -0.918%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -0.977%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.51%51.28%51.05%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.851.841.9457.47%54.18%54.35%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 48.93%; New York Yankees (Visit): 51.07%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.790%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV +0.790%E +0.383%K +0.745%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -0.189%E -0.093%K -0.182%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -0.189%E -0.093%K -0.182%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 22:35
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 22:35
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 22:35
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:35
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:35
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:35
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-10 23:05
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 20:50
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 20:24
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 20:50
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 20:40
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 21:05
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -8.58%E -4.79%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:10
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.60%E -5.42%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 23:10
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 22:40
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -0.918%E -0.473%K -0.977%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-10 21:05
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -0.918%E -0.473%K -0.977%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-10 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.43%E -0.740%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.43%E -0.740%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 23:00
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.43%E -0.740%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 21:49
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.00%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 21:48
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 21:14
NordicBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.03%E -3.27%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:05
Betsson🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.03%E -3.27%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.10%E -2.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 21:15
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.96%E -1.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 20:20
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 21:44
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 20:19
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 21:45
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.00%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 20:20
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.00%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 21:45
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.57%E -2.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.47%E -1.84%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.57%E -2.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.03%E -3.27%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -5.57%E -2.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -11.13%E -6.40%K -15.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.06%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 21:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.06%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.06%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.03%E -3.27%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 21:45
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 23:10
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 21:15
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 20:45
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.51%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-04-10 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-10 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-10 23:05
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-10 23:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-10 22:25
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-04-10 23:10
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-04-10 23:10
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%4.8%2026-04-10 23:10
BetOpenly2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%8.0%2026-04-10 22:45
ProphetX1.01I 99.01%NM 66.11%1.97I 50.76%NM 33.89%49.8%2026-04-10 23:10