L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Rays v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 20:11 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 5–10 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 55.38%1.81cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.796%
Kelly -1.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.91%55.33%55.34%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.721.711.7860.61%58.27%58.48%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.62%2.24cote équitable
EV -0.505%
Avantage -0.226%
Kelly -0.410%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.67%44.66%46.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.142.152.2348.78%46.64%46.51%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.42%E -0.796%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-16 19:40
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.42%E -0.796%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 20:08
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.42%E -0.796%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.63%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 20:05
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.42%E -0.796%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.63%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 20:10
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.42%E -0.796%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.63%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 18:55
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.84%E -0.838%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.64%E -3.69%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:10
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.40%E -0.632%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 19:50
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 20:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 17:05
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 17:25
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 18:40
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:05
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 19:58
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.63%E -2.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 17:05
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.63%E -2.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 18:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.63%E -2.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 20:09
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.86%E -2.78%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 17:25
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.505%E -0.226%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 19:15
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 18:54
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:05
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:04
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 17:35
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.84%E -0.838%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 14:15
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.84%E -0.838%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 06:54
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 19:50
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 16:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:15
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:10
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:10
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 19:50
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 20:10
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:10
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:10
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:10
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:15
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 20:10
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.40%E -3.79%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 19:31
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.40%E -3.79%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 20:09
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 19:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 18:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.84%E -0.838%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 05:25
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 20:10
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:10
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 20:09
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.06%E -4.86%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 20:10
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.06%E -4.86%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 20:10
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.06%E -4.86%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.62%E -5.22%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.84%E -0.838%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 05:35
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.62%E -5.22%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 20:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 55.67%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.33%-0.2%2026-05-16 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-16 19:20
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-05-16 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-16 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-16 20:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-16 19:45
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-05-16 20:10
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-05-16 20:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-16 20:10
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-05-16 20:10