La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v Miami Marlins

Inicio: 2026-05-16 20:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 5–10 Miami Marlins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 55.38%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.796%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.91%55.33%55.34%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.711.7860.61%58.27%58.48%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 44.62%2.24momio equitativo
EV -0.505%
Ventaja -0.226%
Kelly -0.410%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.67%44.66%46.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.142.152.2348.78%46.64%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.42%E -0.796%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-16 19:40
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.42%E -0.796%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 20:08
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.42%E -0.796%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.63%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 20:05
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.42%E -0.796%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.63%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 20:10
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.42%E -0.796%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.63%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 18:55
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.84%E -0.838%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.64%E -3.69%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:10
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.40%E -0.632%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 19:50
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 20:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 17:05
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 17:25
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 18:40
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:05
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 19:58
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.08%E -1.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.63%E -2.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 17:05
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.63%E -2.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 18:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.63%E -2.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 20:09
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.86%E -2.78%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 17:25
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.505%E -0.226%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 19:15
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 18:54
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:05
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:04
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 17:35
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.84%E -0.838%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 14:15
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.84%E -0.838%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 06:54
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 19:50
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 16:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:15
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:10
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:10
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 19:50
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 20:10
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:10
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:10
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:10
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:15
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 20:10
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.40%E -3.79%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 19:31
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.40%E -3.79%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 20:09
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 19:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 18:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.84%E -0.838%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 05:25
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.07%E -1.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 20:10
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:10
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 20:09
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.06%E -4.86%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 20:10
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.06%E -4.86%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 20:10
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.06%E -4.86%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.62%E -5.22%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.84%E -0.838%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 05:35
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.62%E -5.22%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.41%E -2.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 20:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 55.67%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.33%-0.2%2026-05-16 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-16 19:20
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-05-16 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-16 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-16 20:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-16 19:45
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-05-16 20:10
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-05-16 20:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-16 20:10
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-05-16 20:10