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Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)
Prediction 60.29%1.66fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.686%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%60.54%60.20%63.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.551.561.64100.00%64.40%64.10%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 39.71%2.52fair odd
EV +3.25%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +2.03%
Growth +0.066%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.88%39.46%39.80%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.002.422.432.60100.00%41.40%41.15%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 60.29%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 39.71%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +3.25%E +1.25%K +2.03%G +0.066% | 3.8% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +3.25%E +1.25%K +2.03%G +0.066% | 3.8% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +3.25%E +1.25%K +2.03%G +0.066% | 3.8% | 2026-10-13 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +3.25%E +1.25%K +2.03%G +0.066% | 3.8% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.96%E -5.94%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +1.26%E +0.494%K +0.813%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.96%E -5.94%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +1.26%E +0.494%K +0.813%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.96%E -5.94%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +1.26%E +0.494%K +0.813%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.96%E -5.94%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +1.26%E +0.494%K +0.813%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.96%E -5.94%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +1.26%E +0.494%K +0.813%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 00:03 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.96%E -5.94%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +1.26%E +0.494%K +0.813%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.96%E -5.94%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +1.26%E +0.494%K +0.813%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -10.17%E -6.82%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +1.26%E +0.494%K +0.813%G +0.010% | 6.3% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -10.17%E -6.82%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +1.26%E +0.494%K +0.813%G +0.010% | 6.3% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -4.74%E -3.00%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +0.069%E +0.027%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-13 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.725%E -0.290%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 22:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.725%E -0.290%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.725%E -0.290%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.36%E -5.50%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.725%E -0.290%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.15%E -4.64%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.52%E -0.613%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.15%E -4.64%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.52%E -0.613%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 23:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -12.58%E -8.68%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -1.52%E -0.613%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-13 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.73%E -1.06%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.31%E -0.941%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-10-12 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.31%E -0.941%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-12 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.31%E -0.941%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-12 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.31%E -0.941%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-12 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.93%E -1.82%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.31%E -0.941%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-12 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.93%E -1.82%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-12 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 23:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.12%E -0.686%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.50%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-10-12 20:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.50%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-12 16:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.50%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-12 23:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.74%E -3.00%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 23:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 22:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.54%E -2.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.54%E -2.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 20:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.54%E -2.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 20:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 20:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 05:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 20:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 17:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 02:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 17:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.49%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-12 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.68%E -2.84%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 20:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.68%E -2.84%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 20:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.74%E -3.00%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.68%E -2.84%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 20:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.68%E -2.84%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.67%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-13 00:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.67%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 23:47 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.67%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.67%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 23:47 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -9.86%E -4.34%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-13 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.15%E -4.64%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.64%E -5.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.39%EV -11.37%E -7.74%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.61%EV -14.62%E -6.80%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-12 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -39.71%E -39.71%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -60.29%E -60.29%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71% | -0.1% | 2026-10-12 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-10-13 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-12 20:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-10-13 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-10-13 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-10-13 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 2.0% | 2026-10-13 00:00 |