Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-07-24 23:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 11–3 Cleveland Guardians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 55.98%1.79fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.838%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%56.01%55.98%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.701.701.7662.50%58.86%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV -0.956%
Edge -0.425%
Kelly -0.764%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%43.99%44.02%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.52%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 55.98%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 44.02%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -0.956%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.47%E -0.838%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.28%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-24 23:05
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.47%E -0.838%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.72%E -1.23%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.47%E -0.838%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.72%E -1.23%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.47%E -0.838%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.47%E -0.838%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:05
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.47%E -0.838%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:40
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.956%E -0.425%K -0.764%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-24 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 19:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 19:30
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 19:30
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -2.28%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 22:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 22:10
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 22:20
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 22:14
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.48%E -2.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.48%E -2.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 19:35
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.92%E -2.28%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 21:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.80%E -2.71%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 23:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:10
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:10
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 23:10
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 22:20
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.92%E -2.28%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 22:15
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.92%E -2.28%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -4.92%E -2.28%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.68%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.68%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.68%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.68%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.68%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 23:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:44
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.68%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.00%E -3.83%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 22:42
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -2.28%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 22:59
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -8.88%E -4.29%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-07-24 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-07-24 23:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-24 23:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-24 23:10
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-07-24 23:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-24 22:45
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-07-24 23:10
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%3.8%2026-07-24 22:55
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%11.2%2026-07-24 23:10

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