Language:English
Tampa Bay Rays v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)
Prediction 53.29%1.88fair odd
EV -0.875%
Edge -0.470%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.58%53.12%53.27%54.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.801.8657.80%55.71%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 46.71%2.14fair odd
EV +0.420%
Edge +0.195%
Kelly +0.365%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%46.88%46.73%48.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.032.042.1551.81%49.33%49.02%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 53.29%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 46.71%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.420%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.420%E +0.195%K +0.365%G +0.002% | 2.1% | 2026-04-20 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.45%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-20 22:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.92%E -0.912%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-20 22:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.92%E -0.912%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-20 22:23 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.92%E -0.912%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-20 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.92%E -0.912%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.92%E -0.912%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.92%E -0.912%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.92%E -0.912%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.41%E -0.761%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.38%E -1.14%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-20 22:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.38%E -1.14%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-20 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.875%E -0.470%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-20 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-20 21:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.875%E -0.470%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-20 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.875%E -0.470%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-20 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-20 22:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 13:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 22:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.20%E -3.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 21:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.72%E -2.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-20 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.72%E -2.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-20 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-20 21:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 21:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-20 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -7.99%E -4.05%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.45%E -4.31%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.45%E -4.31%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.45%E -4.31%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.92%E -4.58%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.92%E -4.58%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 22:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.92%E -4.58%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -8.92%E -4.58%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -9.39%E -4.84%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -9.39%E -4.84%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -9.86%E -5.11%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -6.20%E -3.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.86%E -5.11%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-20 22:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-20 14:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-20 12:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96% | 2.2% | 2026-04-20 22:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19% | 2.4% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 2.6% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |