Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-07-31 23:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 1–6 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 55.57%1.80fair odd
EV -0.522%
Edge -0.292%
Kelly -0.661%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.23%55.72%55.58%57.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.7960.61%58.20%58.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 44.43%2.25fair odd
EV +0.847%
Edge +0.373%
Kelly +0.667%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.49%44.28%44.42%45.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2748.78%46.50%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 55.57%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 44.43%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.847%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.847%E +0.373%K +0.667%G +0.006%1.9%2026-07-31 22:49
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV +0.403%E +0.178%K +0.319%G +0.001%4.1%2026-07-31 22:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.042%E -0.019%K -0.033%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 21:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.486%E -0.217%K -0.392%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.486%E -0.217%K -0.392%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 22:50
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.37%E -0.619%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -1.37%E -0.619%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-31 22:44
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.19%E -1.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.82%E -0.823%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 23:00
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.63%E -0.923%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 19:59
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 22:58
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.63%E -0.923%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 22:56
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.08%E -3.60%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -0.522%E -0.292%K -0.661%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -3.15%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-31 22:05
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.15%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 23:08
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.08%E -3.60%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.15%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 23:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.75%E -1.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 18:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:59
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 23:09
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 23:09
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:59
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 22:59
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.08%E -3.60%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.08%E -3.60%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 22:59
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.75%E -1.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:09
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:09
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:09
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:09
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.82%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 21:25
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.82%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 21:24
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.82%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 21:25
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.82%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.82%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 23:09
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.82%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.82%E -2.74%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.26%E -2.97%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 22:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.75%E -1.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.71%E -3.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 14:18
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.41%E -2.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.71%E -3.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 23:10
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.97%E -2.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.71%E -3.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.71%E -3.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.19%E -4.31%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.59%E -3.65%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 22:58
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -7.75%E -4.67%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -8.48%E -4.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.86%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.93%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 20:45
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.93%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.93%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 23:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.93%2.23I 44.84%NM 45.07%-0.5%2026-07-31 23:09
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-07-31 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-31 23:05
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-31 13:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-31 23:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-07-31 23:10
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-07-31 23:00
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-07-31 22:54

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