Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 2.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 60.21%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 39.79%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 19:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 19:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.662%E +0.262%K +0.433%G +0.003% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 18:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.133%E -0.053%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 19:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-01 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 19:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 19:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 19:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.33%E -0.535%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.33%E -0.535%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.33%E -0.535%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.33%E -0.535%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.72%E -0.698%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.12%E -0.863%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 09:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 20:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 15:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 19:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.32%E -1.36%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -3.32%E -1.36%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.71%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 20:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.649%E -0.394%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 20:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 07:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 07:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 05:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.91%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.70%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.70%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.70%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.25%E -0.763%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -7.30%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 17:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.89%E -3.88%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.34% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.66% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 20:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 20:05 |
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