Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.92
assuming max odds 2.02
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 50.93%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 49.07%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -0.874%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.36%E -0.679%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-08 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.86%E -0.928%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-08 21:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.928%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 19:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 02:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.24%E -4.40%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.36%E -0.679%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.874%E -0.433%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.874%E -0.433%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.874%E -0.433%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 20:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 15:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.26%E -2.26%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.26%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.26%E -2.26%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.76%E -3.56%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -0.874%E -0.433%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 22:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.86%E -0.928%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.86%E -0.928%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 21:43 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 21:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 22:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.24%E -4.40%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.84%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.27%E -2.84%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 21:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 22:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 22:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25% | 0.1% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85% | 1.8% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 2.4% | 2026-04-08 22:20 |