Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-06-09 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 4–3 Boston Red Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 47.87%2.09fair odd
EV +0.526%
Edge +0.251%
Kelly +0.478%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.56%47.85%47.78%49.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.1052.63%49.96%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 52.13%1.92fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.40%52.15%52.22%53.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.831.8756.50%54.77%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 47.87%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 52.13%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.526%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.526%E +0.251%K +0.478%G +0.003%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-09 21:09
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV +0.048%E +0.023%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -4.08%E -2.22%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-09 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.048%E +0.023%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 21:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.048%E +0.023%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 21:09
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.431%E -0.207%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 22:20
Everygame🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.431%E -0.207%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 21:39
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.910%E -0.440%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.04%E -1.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 22:29
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-09 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.911%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 18:09
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.911%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 18:07
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 21:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-09 20:09
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-09 20:29
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 21:39
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.78%E -1.88%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.78%E -1.88%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 21:39
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 19:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 18:09
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 22:39
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 13:49
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 21:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 18:09
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 19:29
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 20:09
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 20:09
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 20:09
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 20:09
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 20:09
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 20:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 20:09
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 15:48
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 19:29
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 19:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.64%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:28
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 14:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 14:19
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 14:59
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 22:39
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 22:00
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 19:29
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 20:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.70%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-09 20:09
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.70%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-09 20:09
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.04%E -1.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 19:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.08%E -2.22%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 22:29
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 19:29
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 20:19
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 22:28
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.13%E -3.68%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 19:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.09%E -4.21%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -6.69%E -3.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-09 22:18
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.05%E -4.76%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 19:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-06-09 22:40
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-06-09 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-06-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-06-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-06-09 22:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-09 17:59
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-09 18:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-06-09 22:40
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-06-09 22:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-06-09 22:39