The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Tampa Bay Rays v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 23:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 2–4 Boston Red Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 55.24%1.81fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.944%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.52%55.29%55.26%56.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.721.721.7860.98%58.06%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 44.76%2.23fair odd
EV -0.176%
Edge -0.079%
Kelly -0.143%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.81%44.71%44.74%46.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.142.152.2350.25%46.75%46.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 55.24%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 44.76%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.234. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.230, with an expected value of -0.176%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.68%E -0.944%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 14:20
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.07%E -0.485%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-18 15:24
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.07%E -0.485%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-18 13:20
Everygame🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.07%E -0.485%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-18 15:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.97%E -0.898%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-18 13:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.97%E -0.898%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-18 13:20
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.97%E -0.898%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-18 13:25
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 14:48
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 13:20
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.34%E -1.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.176%E -0.079%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-18 14:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.34%E -1.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 14:49
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 14:30
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.65%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 14:04
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.65%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 13:34
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 13:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 13:29
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 13:39
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:19
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:20
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:19
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:30
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:30
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:18
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:34
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:29
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 13:29
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 15:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 15:15
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 13:40
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 15:19
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 15:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:27
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.55%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:15
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:14
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:15
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:14
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.76%E -4.64%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.76%E -4.64%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.41%E -5.74%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -6.00%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -9.41%E -5.74%K -14.71%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.18%EV -10.92%E -5.49%K -11.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-09-18 14:55
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-09-18 15:09
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-18 13:20
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-18 13:45
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-09-18 15:20