Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 4–1 Baltimore Orioles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 50.77%1.97fair odd
EV +0.007%
Edge +0.004%
Kelly +0.008%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%50.78%50.80%52.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.881.871.9755.25%53.18%53.48%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 49.23%2.03fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.765%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.91%49.22%49.20%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.942.0053.48%51.58%51.55%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 50.77%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 49.23%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.9699. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.9700, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.007%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV +0.007%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 22:29
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.01%E -0.517%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.01%E -1.53%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 22:25
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.01%E -0.517%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-19 22:38
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.01%E -0.517%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-19 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.52%E -1.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 22:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.52%E -1.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 22:29
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.52%E -1.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 22:29
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.52%E -1.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.98%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-19 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.59%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 22:29
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.59%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 22:26
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.04%E -1.59%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 18:20
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 21:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.47%E -2.85%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.40%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.40%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -6.95%E -3.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.05%E -2.14%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.01%E -1.53%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 22:29
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.05%E -2.14%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.98%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.56%E -2.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.56%E -2.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 22:29
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.56%E -2.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.56%E -2.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.98%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 21:10
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.56%E -2.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.98%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.56%E -2.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.47%E -2.85%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.56%E -2.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.47%E -2.85%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.56%E -2.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.47%E -2.85%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:29
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.53%E -0.765%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-19 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.52%E -1.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 22:29
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 21:20
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 21:00
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 21:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 16:20
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:39
LeoVegas🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:39
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:29
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:29
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:29
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 22:39
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 21:20
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 20:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.58%E -3.00%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.52%E -1.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.58%E -3.00%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.58%E -3.00%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:29
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:00
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.98%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 22:29
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.98%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 22:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.98%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 21:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 21:10
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.45%E -3.40%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 22:39
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -2.02%E -1.02%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 22:29
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 22:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.61%E -4.18%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 22:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -8.12%E -4.48%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -4.98%E -2.58%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%0.0%2026-05-19 22:19
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-19 18:30
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-19 22:39
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-19 21:40
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%2.6%2026-05-19 22:39